Peak Distrust

Lots of buzz in the Peak Oil Hive about the recent oil production forecast from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

Folks are comparing the last four reports from the EIA and discovering that oil production forecasts have fallen by 14 million barrels a day – from 118 million barrels a day to 104 barrels a day.  Though I’m not the sharpest knife in the drawer, I thought Peak Oil meant that production goes to a top and then starts going down. If we are currently getting 86 million barrels a day then how does an increase of  18 million barrels translate into an admission of Peak Oil from the EIA?

What we have here are two failures of admission. Our leaders, i.e. our government, refuse to admit we are running out of oil.  And our thought leaders refuse to admit they are so desperate to get some truth from our government that they’ll make up their own.

When something falls apart, like trust between the governed and the government, it’s very difficult to put it back together the way it was.  We have to learn how to trust ourselves because the devil knows the best lies rest in the truth.